Antibodies0Created by wiseguy 9 days ago
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
Some people might be resistant to infection.
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
Some people who tested positive don't have antibodies
Alien
Alien
What!?!?
#CoronavirusDeathRateSunetraGupta
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Two Scenarios0Created by wiseguy 9 days ago
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
There are two scenarios that are compatible with the data
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
The infection has only just arrived and has a high fatality rate
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
The infection has been around for longer and has a low fatality rate
#CoronavirusDeathRateSunetraGupta
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Oxford Model0Created by wiseguy 9 days ago
Sunetra Gupta (Oxford)
Sunetra Gupta (Oxford)
I believe it's more likely the virus arrived a month earlier than previously thought.
#CoronavirusDeathRateSunetraGupta
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Virus is slowing down0Created by wiseguy 10 days ago
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
My bet is that the limit of serotyping done will be 25%.  
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
This virus is slowing down from case 1.  It is not exponential.
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
When you have exponential growth decreasing exponentially it doesn't go very far.
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
I think it slows down because shadow (assymptomatic) cases are infecting people, so the virus is competing with itself.
#CoronavirusDeathRateMichaelLevitt
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Natural Immunity0Created by wiseguy 10 days ago
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
The Diamond Princess infection rate never went above 25% despite perfect conditions for spread.
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
The death rate was above 1 in a 1,000 across the entire population
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Which is about what we are seeing everywhere else.
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Herd immunity of 80% doesn't seem credible.
#CoronavirusDeathRateMichaelLevitt
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