Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
Some people might be resistant to infection.
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
Some people who tested positive don't have antibodies
Alien
Alien
What!?!?
Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
There are two scenarios that are compatible with the data
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
The infection has only just arrived and has a high fatality rate
Sunetra Gupta
Sunetra Gupta
The infection has been around for longer and has a low fatality rate
Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Sunetra Gupta (Oxford)
Sunetra Gupta (Oxford)
I believe it's more likely the virus arrived a month earlier than previously thought.
Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
My bet is that the limit of serotyping done will be 25%.  
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
This virus is slowing down from case 1.  It is not exponential.
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
When you have exponential growth decreasing exponentially it doesn't go very far.
Michael Levitt
Michael Levitt
I think it slows down because shadow (assymptomatic) cases are infecting people, so the virus is competing with itself.
Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
The Diamond Princess infection rate never went above 25% despite perfect conditions for spread.
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
The death rate was above 1 in a 1,000 across the entire population
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Which is about what we are seeing everywhere else.
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Michael Levitt (Nobel Prize Winner)
Herd immunity of 80% doesn't seem credible.
Created by JoaquinaDias 6 months ago for
Professor Kim (South Korea)
Professor Kim (South Korea)
I don't think coronavirus will have a big impact in the summer but am 80% to 90% sure there will be a big second wave in September / October.
Professor Kim (South Korea)
Professor Kim (South Korea)
It will keep coming back until we get herd immunity or there is a vaccine.